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How inflation and unemployment are related?

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Question added by Samer Khatib , Economics Moderator , Bayt.com
Date Posted: 2016/08/21
SHAHZAD Yaqoob
by SHAHZAD Yaqoob , SENIOR ACCOUNTANT , ABDULLAH H AL SHUWAYER

The relation between unemployment and inflation has long held the attention of economists. For some time, it was believed that there was a trade-off between the two that policymakers could exploit. In other words, a lower unemployment rate could be had by tolerating a higher rate of inflation. That notion is no longer widely held, at least as regards the long run. While minimal unemployment might seem a desirable policy goal, few economists would define full employment as employment for everyone who wants a job. Instead, many would argue that full employment is the lowest rate of unemployment consistent with a stable rate of inflation. This rate is known as the natural rate of unemployment. Some idea of what that rate of unemployment is could be extremely useful to economic policymakers. Inflation tends to be slow to respond to those changes in policy which affect it. The effects of an expansionary monetary policy on inflation, for example, might not become apparent for some time. Similarly, at times when the inflation rate is relatively high it is likely to respond only slowly to policies designed to bring it down. In part because of this characteristic, and because policies aimed at reducing inflation may have short-term economic costs, it seems to be the prevalent view that it would be better to avoid increases in inflation altogether. Perhaps the key characteristic of the natural rate is that it is the lowest rate of unemployment that is sustainable. If the natural rate model is correct, policymakers seeking to maintain the actual unemployment below the natural rate would eventually have to contend with an accelerating rate of inflation. Because inflation tends only gradually to respond to changes in underlying economic conditions, a way of predicting it or of identifying the conditions that are likely to lead to an increase in the inflation rate, would be extremely useful to policymakers. The natural rate of unemployment has been viewed by many economists as a means of measuring tightness in the labor market and thus the risk of future increases in the inflation rate

 

The Phillips curve shows the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment: as unemployment decreases, inflation increases.

  • The relationship between inflation rates and unemployment rates is inverse. Graphically, this means the short-run Phillips curve is L-shaped.
  • A.W. Phillips published his observations about the inverse correlation between wage changes and unemployment in Great Britain in 1958. This relationship was found to hold true for other industrial countries, as well.
  • From 1861 until the late 1960's, the Phillips curve predicted rates of inflation and rates of unemployment. However, from the 1970's and 1980's onward, rates of inflation and unemployment differed from the Phillips curve's prediction. The relationship between the two variables became unstable.

The Phillips curve relates the rate of inflation with the rate of unemployment. The Phillips curve argues that unemployment and inflation are inversely related: as levels of unemployment decrease, inflation increases. The relationship, however, is not linear. Graphically, the short-run Phillips curve traces an L-shape when the unemployment rate is on the x-axis and the inflation rate is on the y-axis .

Tarek AL Atassi
by Tarek AL Atassi , ALM & Accounting & Financial Reporting Accountant , Banque Bemo Saudi Fransi

when the inflation is going up, the interest rate will going up too, so that will affect on the investment transactions since the people will goes to deposit their money with higher required rate of return instead of the losses because of the inflation, so that will be push the manufactures to close and make the employee to quit the job.

 

Tomasz L
by Tomasz L , Reporting Specialist , Outworking

Phillips curve shows this relation (unemployment and inflation are correlated).  Simply speaking higher inflation means smaller unemployment rate and vice versa.

See also stagflation  (inflation rate is high, the economic growth rate slows, and unemployment remains steadily high) what is the negation of Phillips curve.

Wail Zayid
by Wail Zayid , Facilities Supervisor , Shade Corporation

Thank you for the invitation.

I agree with Mr. Tarek answer.

sameer abdul wahab alfaddagh
by sameer abdul wahab alfaddagh , عضو هيئة تدريس , جامعة دلمون

InflationInflation can be defined as the continuing rise in the general level of prices in an economyAnd from the above definition, you should note the following:1. The general price level is the average prices of goods and services consumed in the economy during a given year. And it is used to record a standardized average prices of goods and services using the CPI or PPI.2. Inflation is a constant and influential rise in the general level of prices and therefore the temporary increase is not considered inflation. It should be noted that inflation reduces the purchasing power of individuals (the amount of goods and services that can be purchased in disposable income limits where inflation is a continuous rise in the prices of goods and services).UnemploymentAnd identify unemployment as a compulsory stop for a fraction of the labor force, despite the ability and desire of these working in the labor force and production.

The relationship between inflation and unemploymentPhilip Philips Curve curve shows a relationship (not law) between inflation and unemployment: When high rising aggregate demand, for example, the product works to increase the production volume, which works to recruit elements produce more (low unemployment rate) and then go up these workers' wages, which works on the high cost of production, which reflected thus on higher production costs and thus higher prices goods and services (high inflation) rate. This means that the relationship between inflation and unemployment is an inverse relationship.However, this relationship is not entirely correct too often shows the so-called inflation stasis or Stagflation, which describes the phenomenon in which the high rate of inflation accompanied by high unemployment in the economy.

Aslam Parkar
by Aslam Parkar , Supply Chain Coordinator , Shiseido Group Middle East

Everything is depend upon supply and demand, if demand is less than supply then prices will fall down and eventually profit margin will also. which will lead to low salaries, no bonuses, work will increase and management will start looking for person who will work more than one person. It means they are taking away jobs from others. People will stop purchasing luxury goods and they will buy only essential. It's complete vicious circle which will increase economic crises further. Only way out in the Middle East is if prices of petrol rises which will increase flow of money or new projects in market and it will create new jobs, new hope and new expectations and increase in inflation / price rise / more demand in all sectors.

Amjed Mehboob
by Amjed Mehboob , G.M -(Currently Job Seeking ) , Advance Education centre

Inversly related to each others , and this Philips Curve in economics who is define the relationship between infaltion and umemployment

Ahmed Mohamed Ayesh Sarkhi
by Ahmed Mohamed Ayesh Sarkhi , Shared Services Supervisor , Saudi Musheera Co. Ltd.

Full Agree with Mr. sameer abdul wahab alfaddagh 

Monish Sharaschandra Salehittal
by Monish Sharaschandra Salehittal , Operations Analyst , Altisource Business Solutions Pvt LTD

There is inverse correlation between inflation and unemployment. Based on the fundamental principles of supply and demand, inflation ought to be low when unemployment is high.

 

 

 

Manzoor Alam
by Manzoor Alam , Director , 7th Sky Travel & Tourism Services (Pvt.) Limited

Inflation and unemployemnt are corelated. If ROI (return on investment) goes up then investor's trust will ask to do more investment in result more job opportunities will be added in the economy. 

Ajit Singh
by Ajit Singh , MANAGER- OPERATIONS , Lifestar Technical Service- Visa on A.A Computer Network

Inflation and unemployment share inverse relationship!!

( Inverse relationships are equations in which one variable increases, while the other decreases so that the ultimate product remains the same.) 

So if inflation rises up, then unemployment fells down and vice versa. 

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